Brad Keselowski hasn’t won a race since 2021, but the closest he came this year to ending his drought was the last NASCAR at Atlanta stop earlier this season, when he finished second. He has two career wins at Atlanta Motor Speedway and is 10-1 to win in the 2023 Quaker State 400 odds listed on Caesars Sportsbook. Keselowski is co-favorite to win in the 2023 Atlanta NASCAR odds along with Kyle Busch and Chase Elliott, who are both threats to win any race this season. The three of them will still have to hold off other 2023 Quaker State 400 contenders like Denny Hamlin (12-1), Ryan Blaney (11-1) and Joey Logano (11-1).
Before scouring the 2023 Quaker State 400 starting lineup and making any 2023 NASCAR at Atlanta predictions, be sure to see the latest 2023 Quaker State 400 picks from SportsLine’s proven NASCAR model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
McClure’s model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.’s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano’s Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch’s Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin’s triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson’s wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). In Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson’s wins during his historic season in 2021.
All told, the model has nailed a whopping 12 winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.
Now, the model simulated the 2023 Quaker State 400 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected 2023 NASCAR at Atlanta leaderboard.
Top 2023 Quaker State 400 predictionsFor the 2023 Quaker State 400, the model is high on Martin Truex Jr., even though he’s a 25-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Atlanta odds. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. His last race in Chicago was a dud, but he won in Sonoma three weeks ago and finished second the following race at Nashville. Truex has been competitive this season, with nine top-10 and six top-five finishes in addition to his two wins.
He has never won a NASCAR cup Series event in Atlanta, but he has shown well there over the years and has finished in the top 10 in 11 of his last 14 races. On superspeedways this season, Truex has the fourth-highest average of laps in which he improved his position (31.46) among all drivers. He is the overall points leader. See who else to back at SportsLine.
And a massive shocker: Joey Logano, one of the Vegas co-favorites at 10-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five. There are far better values in the 2023 Quaker State 400 starting lineup. The winner at Atlanta in March is the defending NASCAR Cup Series champion but his performances have been rather disappointing of late.
He’s only led laps in one race over his last eight starts and he’s had seven finishes of 18th or worse since his victory at Atlanta Motor Speedway. Logano has fallen to 10th in the NASCAR standings and his win in Atlanta earlier this year was one of only three top-five finishes in 19 career Cup starts at the track. See which other drivers to avoid at SportsLine.
How to make 2023 NASCAR at Atlanta picksThe model is also targeting two other drivers with 2023 NASCAR at Atlanta odds of 15-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.
So who wins the Quaker State 400 2023? And which longshot is a must-back? Check out the latest 2023 NASCAR at Atlanta odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2023 NASCAR at Atlanta leaderboard, all from the model that already nailed six winners in 2023.
2023 Quaker State 400 odds, drivers, lineupSee full 2023 NASCAR at Atlanta picks at SportsLine
Joey Logano 10-1
Kyle Busch 10-1
Chase Elliott 10-1
Ryan Blaney 11-1
Kyle Larson 12-1
Denny Hamlin 12-1
Brad Keselowski 12-1
William Byron 14-1
Ross Chastain 15-1
Christopher Bell 16-1
Chris Buescher 20-1
Corey Lajoie 25-1
Tyler Reddick 25-1
Martin Truex Jr. 25-1
Ty Gibbs 25-1
Bubba Wallace 25-1
Kevin Harvick 30-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 30-1
Aric Almirola 30-1
Daniel Suarez 30-1
Alex Bowman 30-1
Austin Cindric 30-1
Erik Jones 30-1
A.J. Allmendinger 40-1
Austin Dillon 40-1
Michael McDowell 40-1
Austin Hill 50-1
Justin Haley 50-1
Chase Briscoe 50-1
Cole Custer 60-1
Todd Gilliland 60-1
Ryan Preece 60-1
Noah Gragson 60-1
Harrison Burton 75-1
Ty Dillon 500-1
BJ McLeod 1000-1
JJ Yeley 1000-1
Source : CBS Sports